I filled in an on-line survey back in 2015 which told me
that my current form of employment carried with it a 63% possibility of being done
in the future by a robot.
That prospect arouses in me two distinct emotions,
the first being an impending feeling of uselessness and the other a simmering
rage against artificial intelligence, machine learning and algorithms which
could in the next 50 years see me seriously consider taking up arms in any
ensuing struggle.
My own apparently predestined future led me to think about what
sorts of jobs would still, in the same time frame, be predominantly undertaken by
humans.
Take the construction sector and the roles and functions that go with
that.
It is an industry that requires a certain amount of youthful physicality
in excavations, fabrication, allied trades and skills and yet looking through
the list of jobs in getting, for example, a typical house out of the ground and
up to habitable stage there appears to be a high level of vulnerability to a
robot takeover.
To me the most surprising skill to be under such a threat was
bricklaying at 82%.
I have marvelled at the agility and dexterity of a
bricklaying gang on a residential building site from the labourers mixing the
mortar and handling the bricks to the skilled tradesmen up on the scaffolding
laying the uniform courses hour upon hour.
It appears however that brickies are
becoming scarce through natural wastage and as a consequence of economic downturn
on a cyclical basis which detracts from what was generally regarded as a job
that would always be in demand and a good source of income.
In Australia these
factors have led to one company, Fast Brick, developing and bringing into
commission a mechanised brick laying machine.
Under the iconic name of Hadrian
this large but manoeuvrable bit of mobile equipment can construct all of the
masonry components of a traditional clay brick house in 15 hours which when
compared to a human team’s 15 to 18 days for the same is astounding.
The
company defend their creation as being complimentary to a conventional brick
laying gang and that it does not constitute a threat to employment. They have
simply identified shortcomings and trends in construction and addressed them
with a machine.
Most technical revolutions are in response to inefficiencies or
skill voids and that applies to just about every sector of manufacturing and
commercial operation.
Masons and bricklayers in Australia now have an average
age of 47 years and because of the level of physical attrition in the job
rarely work beyond 55 years old.
This is a worry to those responsible for the
profitability of companies in the sector and also where there is social
pressure to provide housing in sufficient volume and quality to meet an
increasing population and their needs.
Fast Brick have identified the UK
economy as an area for their machine to thrive in as there is a persistent
shortfall in cost effective housing and in terms of numbers. We, in this country, similar to the Aussies just love bricks and mortar construction for our homes and so there appears to be a perfect fit for Southern Hemisphere ingenuity and entrepreneurial flare.
Just such a
machine as Hadrian may be squeezing into a street near you and quite soon.
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